Heading into tonight's second Republican
debate, it appears clear that the candidacy of Donald Trump must be
taken seriously. While some pundits point out that Mr. Trump has the
support of only a relatively small percentage of potential primary
voters in his party, it stands to reason that many, if not most, of
those now supporting others will likely switch their allegiance to Mr.
Trump as the number of candidates whittles to a precious few.
However,
we should turn to the most recent past, four years ago, to gain some
perspective on whether we will be going to Mr. Trump's coronation in
January of 2017. In the summer and fall of 2011 the following were
national headlines:
July 19, 2011 - Michele Bachmann takes lead in national polls
August 15, 2011 - Donald Trump leads 2012 GOP field
August 24, 2011 - A second poll in two weeks shows Rick Perry with a significant lead over his competition
October 7, 2011 - Herman Cain opens up a 20 point lead on Romney
This
election cycle feels different, seems like every predicate is without
meaning and the only constant is that the conventional is in serious
trouble. Non-politicians prosper on the right and a life long lone voice
on the fringe surges on the left.
But for those of us who find
ludicrous the thought of a Donald Trump running the office of the
Presidency like a bull in a china shop, at least we can hold on to
history for some comfort in knowing that today's king or queen may well
be old news tomorrow.
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